Panic is now getting up a head of steam and the selling in mutual funds, 401k's and hedge funds is now significant.
The world is essentially
deciding, for the moment, that there is only one safe place and, somewhat
ironically, it is the beleaguered U.S. $. (To a lesser extent there is
a flow into the Yen but that cannot take the place of the $). In
this chaos things, like gold, which normally shine (pun intended) are being
dumped along with just about every other asset. Erstwhile favorites like
commodities and oil have just been massacred and emerging markets have
seem massive declines. A number of countries are now in serious trouble
and might join Iceland in the International junk category. Argentina, Ukraine,
Hungary and, astonishingly, Russia are the most obvious examples.
How does this affect us and what are we doing
in this environment?
It can certainly
mean, and it has, that things we own and things we buy will fall in price.
As a value investor one merely knows what is cheap and not how cheap it
might become in a market panic. This is essentially what Warren Buffett
said last weekend in a prominent piece as he outlined the fact that he
was a heavy buyer in his personal account.
Our portfolio is
distributed in the following fashion:
| Common Stocks | 33% |
| Oil | 11% |
| Real Estate | 2% |
| Gold | 5% |
| Variable Rate Bonds | 6% |
| Cash $ | 43% |
Here is a table
of our 15 primary investments that make up 86% of our common stock and
oil positions. These are the things that will have the most influence on
the daily fluctuations in the portfolio. They are ALL strong, well capitalized
survivors of any financial turmoil that we might experience.
| Fitch Rating | Company | Percentage Owned | Dividend |
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