The story is changing rapidly, but it appears that Lehman Bros (the #4
investment bank) is about to file for bankruptcy and, Merrill Lynch (the
#3 investment bank), is being forced to sell itself in a shotgun wedding
(with heavy pressure from the Feds). Last week saw the disappearance of
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and, of course, Bear Stearns disappeared in
the spring.
These are very scary times and we are very aware of the potential for chaotic
pricing in the weeks ahead, but nothing that has happened, or that is likely
to happen, is unexpected and we are well prepared to ride out the storm
and prosper. This is of a greater magnitude than the difficult period surrounding
the breakup of the technology bubble but, as was also true then, we will
avoid most of the potential carnage.
The portfolio in the year to date has a return of -2.7%. Certainly
not pleasing on an absolute basis but, accepting the fact that markets
do fluctuate, it looks rather good compared with indices and assets all
over the world that are down by 15%+. It leaves us in a very favorable
position when conditions stabilize. Our flexible and conservative portfolio
also is well structured to deal with further disruptions.
I realize
that when the markets are constantly in the news that this can be stressful.
Don't hesitate to contact us with any questions or concerns.